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21.12.22 13:58:29
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국제관계연구소
Vol. 36-2 (August 2021) Hedging against the Dragon: Myanmar’s Tangled Relationship with China since 1988 (Nian Peng)

[Abstract]


This study analyzes Myanmar’s China policy since the military took power in 1988 and argues that Myanmar has actually hedged against the high risk of its heavy reliance on China. Through a new formulated analytical framework based on external risks and strategic preference, this study investigates why and how Myanmar hedged against China. It finds that Myanmar’s cautiously varying policy has been motivated by the rising risks imposed by China and the Burmese leaders’ conciliatory preference for adopting less coercive measures to

respond to external threats. In practice, Myanmar has actively engaged with China with the aim of maximizing benefits, whereas it has also made great efforts to ensure against over-dependence on China. In turn, this study predicts that the military regime established after the coup in February 2021 would move closer to China, while simultaneously resisting Chinese dominance.

 

Key words: Myanmar, China, United States, hedging, coup.

첨부파일 첨부파일이(가) 없습니다.
다음글 Vol. 36-3 (December 2021) First Strike Hypersonic Weapons The End of the MAD Doctrine and Peace for Our Time?(Wilson Kia Onn Wong)
이전글 Vol. 36-1 (April 2021) Smaller Ally Matters: Civil-Military Relations and Military Effectiveness in the Fighter eXperimental (FX) III Project of the ROK–US Alliance (Haneol Lee)