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21.08.26 14:23:54
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국제관계연구소
Vol. 36-2 (August 2021) Hedging against the Dragon: Myanmar’s Tangled Relationship with China since 1988 ()Nian Peng)
This study analyzes Myanmar’s China policy since the military took power in
1988 and argues that Myanmar has actually hedged against the high risk of its
heavy reliance on China. Through a new formulated analytical framework
based on external risks and strategic preference, this study investigates why and
how Myanmar hedged against China. It finds that Myanmar’s cautiously varying policy has been motivated by the rising risks imposed by China and the
Burmese leaders’ conciliatory preference for adopting less coercive measures to
respond to external threats. In practice, Myanmar has actively engaged with
China with the aim of maximizing benefits, whereas it has also made great
efforts to ensure against over-dependence on China. In turn, this study predicts
that the military regime established after the coup in February 2021 would
move closer to China, while simultaneously resisting Chinese dominance.

Key words: Myanmar, China, United States, hedging, coup.
다음글 Vol. 36-2 (August 2021) Why Help North Korea? Foreign Aid to North Korea and Its Determinants, 2002–2018 (Heon Joo Jung, Geonwoo Park, Myeonggeun Ji and Timothy S. Rich)
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